Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
- Healthy capital position; restoration in internal accruals to pre-pandemic levels remains a monitorable
The bank’s networth remains comfortable in relation to its scale of operations, which aids its overall financial risk profile. Reported networth of Rs 23,715 crore and tier I and overall capital adequacy ratio (CAR) of 13.6% and 15.6%(including profits), respectively as on September 30, 2024, are a result steady internal accrual. After revision of risk weights on the Emerging enterprise banking (EEB) book from 75% to 125% in November 2023, overall CAR of the bank as March 31, 2024 was recomputed to 14.7% (from 18.3% reported earlier).
Networth coverage of NNPAs was 14.6 times as on September 30, 2024, compared with 16.0 times as on March 31, 2024.
Bandhan's pre-provision profitability remained comfortable at 4.2% for the first half of fiscal 2025 as against 4.1% for the corresponding half of the previous fiscal. For fiscal 2024, this metric was 4.0%, down from 4.8% in fiscal 2023 and 6.3% in fiscal 2022. After absorbing credit costs of 2.2% in fiscal 2024 and 2.8% in fiscal 2023, RoA stood at 1.3% and 1.5%, respectively, as against an average of >1.7% for the previous five fiscals. For the first half of fiscal 2025, as the credit cost was relatively lower at 1.3% (annualized) which yielded a higher RoA of 2.2% (annualized). Moreover, higher net interest margins (NIM) also supported profitability. It was reported at 6.7% (annualized) as against 6.4% reported in the corresponding period of the previous fiscal.
Considering the ground level challenges being witnessed by the microfinance segment, the degree of its impact on asset quality and overall profitability, will remain a key monitorable.
- Healthy resource profile supported by a large retail deposit franchise
Bandhan has a granular deposit profile with a large share of retail deposits (current account and savings account [CASA] + retail term deposits), which stood at 68% of the total deposit base as on September 30, 2024 (69% as on March 31,2024). While microfinance borrowers are the largest constituents of the bank's customer base, they accounted for a small share of the deposit base as of September 30, 2024. The share of CASA deposits stood at 33.2% of total deposits as on September 30, 2024, compared with 37.1% as on March 31, 2024. This six month trend in aligned with that witnessed by the overall banking sector.
The bank has been offering higher rate of interest than many other large private banks for both savings account balance of more than Rs 1 lakh as well as retail term deposits of more than six months, leading to higher cost of funds. For H1 2025, cost of funds was 6.7% (annualized) as compared to 6.0% for full fiscal 2024.
- Market position supported by established track record in the micro-loan segment alongside increasing diversification towards secured asset classes
As on September 30, 2024, Bandhan’s gross advances stood at Rs 1,30,650 crore having risen by 4.8% in the first half of fiscal 2025.
The Emerging Entrepreneurs Business (EEB) portfolio comprised 45% of the overall advances as on September 30, 2024 and remains one of the bank’s core competencies. The bank maintains its competitive edge in the microfinance sector through strong reach and local knowledge, especially in east and north-east India, which accounted for ~41% of the overall loan portfolio (44% as on March 31, 2024). While the low credit penetration in the east and northeastern belt offers a huge untapped market potential and the bank’s long-term association with its customers of this region gives it an advantage, Bandhan’s prudence in shortlisting regional pockets of growth within this geographical belt remain crucial.
In terms of product suite, EEB group loans comprise 29% of the bank’s advances while EEB individual loans make up 16% of it. Over the years, the bank has endeavored to diversify into secured assets classes as well. The same is showcased through the increase in share of commercial banking and mortgages portfolio increasing to 25% and 24% (including IBPC), respectively as on September 30, 2024 as against 12% and 23% as on March 31, 2022. Meanwhile, the share of the EEB portfolio has declined from 63% to 45% during the same period. This transition to garnering a higher share of secured assets, is expected to impart higher diversity to the bank’s business profile and, higher stability to the overall asset quality on a steady state basis.
Weaknesses:
- Moderate asset quality metrics; susceptibility to risks inherent to the microfinance segment
The bank’s asset quality, though stabilizing, has remained vulnerable ever since the outbreak of the pandemic. As on March 31, 2020, 43%, of the bank’s gross portfolio was cumulatively housed in Assam and West Bengal. In fiscal 2021, these territories faced multiple socio-political issues including political parties promising microfinance loan waivers to borrowers residing in Assam. Additionally, elections in West Bengal and natural calamities like the cyclone Amphan further aggravated the issue, causing the reported NPAs of the bank to remain volatile between fiscals 2020 and fiscal 2023. Thereafter, owing to increased resolution, cumulative write-offs of Rs 9925 crore and sale of NPAs worth Rs 3036 crore to ARCs - over fiscals 2023 and 2024, the GNPA and NNPA declined from 6.5% and 1.7% on March 31, 2022, to 3.8% and 1.1%, two years later.
Over the first six months of fiscal 2025, GNPA and NNPA rose to 4.7% and 1.3% (inclusive of write off of Rs 9 crore) on account of stress emerging in the microfinance and unsecured segments. During Q2 2025, slippages increased to Rs 1115 crore from Rs 891 crore in Q1 FY25 and Rs 1017 crore in Q4 FY24. Within the EEB portfolio, the bank's total stressed asset portfolio was Rs 5361 crore which was either NPA, or in SMA (including 1 and 2) and this formed ~9% of the total EEB book as on September 30, 2024 (Rs 4087 crore and 7% as on March 31, 2024 and Rs 5470 crore and 10% as on March 31, 2023). Recently, the detailed audit pertaining to CGFMU scheme has been concluded. The bank is expected to incrementally receive Rs 315 crore (Rs 917 received in December 2022) as claim settlement in this regard. Further Rs 228 crore of recoveries are yet to be accounted as other income.
While the bank has been implementing various qualitative measures to strengthen underwriting and collection practices within vulnerable borrower groups, its effectiveness is yet to be determined. A significant portion of bank’s portfolio comprises loans to clients with modest credit risk profiles and limited access to formal credit with sensitive cash inflows. This risk is partly offset by the bank’s strong competitive edge and its longstanding presence, in East and North-East India, and its exclusive lending relation with most of its borrowers. Many borrowers have been associated with the bank for over a decade and, have graduated across cycles with their credit profiles now being eligible for bigger ticket loans. Besides, certain customers (erstwhile microfinance borrowers) are availing micro business loans wherein average ticket size is high as per MFI lending standards. Nevertheless, these borrowers belong to semi-skilled, self-employed category and their income streams are volatile and dependent on the local economy. As on September 30, 2024, 60% of the bank’s borrowers were unique to Bandhan wherein it is the sole lender and close to 10% -had 4 or more loans (including that from Bandhan)
Over the medium term, Bandhan’s asset quality will remain a monitorable owing to sector level issues like overleveraging, elevated pricing, operational disturbances – plaguing its key market.
- Regional concentration and exposure to local socio-political risks inherent in the micro loan business
Bandhan has strong presence in East and North-East India, in the micro loans business, which comprised around 65% of its portfolio as on September 30, 2024 (64% as on March 31, 2024). The bank is exposed to geographical concentration risk inherent to the segment. As of September 30, 2024, 36% of its microfinance loan exposure, which is the largest loan portfolio, was in West Bengal alone. The concentration of the overall portfolio within top five states namely West Bengal, Maharashtra, Bihar, Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh was 59% of gross advances.
Recently, due to borrower overleveraging and ground-level operational challenges across the industry following elections and intense heat wave coupled with ‘Karza mukt bharat abhiyan’ campaign, there has been a spillover effect of the stress in certain geographies, thereby putting pressure on collections. This segment of borrowers continues to be subjected to idiosyncratic risks on account of socio-political factors. Historically, the microfinance sector has witnessed major disruptive events the Andhra crisis in 2010, demonetisation in 2016 and most recently, the pandemic in March 2020. In addition, the sector has faced issues of varying intensity in several geographies. These events revealed the vulnerability of the borrower segment to regulatory and legislative risks. These events triggered a chain of events that adversely affected the business models of MFIs by impairing their growth, asset quality, profitability and solvency.
While Bandhan had remained largely immune to most sector-level disruptions in the past, continued unrest in one of its core territories of Assam since 2019, followed by ground level challenges in West Bengal and Manipur, has structurally impacted the bank’s asset quality. As a result, the bank has cumulatively written off Rs 15,207 crore between fiscals 2021 and 2024. The situation in Assam, though stabilizing, remains vulnerable in CRISIL Ratings’ opinion. The bank’s cumulative exposure to Assam and West Bengal stands reduced at 27% as on September 30, 2024 vis a vis 36% as on March 31, 2022. Furthermore, for H1 2025, collection efficiency for the EEB portfolio housed in Assam and West Bengal, was at 99.2% and 99% respectively, which is better than peers.